As a result of new CECL regulations, Community Banks and Credit Unions are or will be spending a great deal of money on underpowered, check-the-boxes, bare minimum technology to pass a review. These basic solutions offered by CECL providers do not capture the true dynamics of the portfolios, and therefore won't provide any real business value. You shouldn't have pay for regulatory compliance but rather your investment should go towards improving your business. At DFA, our best-in-class solution provides the necessary lifetime loss forecasts for CECL, but also gives you accurate and actionable information for portfolio management, account management, and loan pricing. All of this is wrapped up in an easy-to-use browser-based tool that lets you update your forecasts at will. We understand you want to get accurate and actionable allowances so we start by doing loss forecasting right. Monthly account-level estimates of balances, attrition / pay-down, and charge-offs that incorporate underwriting criteria, loss timing, mean-reverting scenarios for the environment, and adjustments for adverse selection.Consider Our Core Capabilities and how we stack up against other providers.
Our solution was designed to pay for itself… many times over! Watchlists for collections, payoffs, and LOC opportunities are just a few of the action tools.
Our focus has always been on Accuracy and Application of results. Therefore, while your software training may take a little longer, the great amount of flexibility you gain will far outweigh the longer learning curve.
CECL Compliance is just a byproduct of what was originally designed as a much more Advanced All-in-One Forecast, Pricing, Collections, Valuation, and Stress Testing Model.
The Deep Future Analytics software was designed to accommodate ALL of your loan modeling needs. It was developed well before any CECL rules were even discussed. And while it is fully CECL compliant, the application of the tool will improve your loan operations in any number of ways, including:
✓ CECL / Risk Forecast ✓ Price Optimization ✓ Priority Ranking of Collections Loans ✓ Valuation of New Loans ✓ Economic Scenario Driven Stress Tests
When it comes to accuracy, you need a model designed by Researchers, not programmers. You also need relevant history, which most of us do not have nearly enough of.
Deep Future's software was designed by an industry leading credit risk research team of 9 Phd's who have written countless books and publications on Loan Modeling. We are the Vanguard in loan modeling in the US and across the globe and had even invented Vintage Modeling which FASB openly stated is the overall best CECL methodology.
We work with numerous financial institutions and have accumulated a 30+ Million Account data pool to assist you with your forecasts when your data doesn't allow for statistically sound sample sizes.
Having the ability to Segment your data is vital in performing a solid Analysis. We make it very simple for the end user to pick and choose products, periods, methodologies and more.
We start with your loan account level data and work our way up. As you examine all the individual pieces you can best understand the drivers of past performance and build a better future.
Using our shared data pool along with your account level data, you'll be able to take advantage of the most advanced vintage modeling tool that exists. The end result is an accurate and reliable ALLL estimation that you can trust when budgeting, pricing, and more.
However, we understand you may still want to compare your results to other methodologies and we therefore offer a number of different methodologies for you to experiment with.
All models must be validated before being deployed. Test your performance through good times and bad. Determine how well your institution will fair, given the next recession.
Use the Deep Future software to stress test your portfolio against previous economic measures, various pricing scenarios, and numerous other variables you wish to ask.
Stress Tests are Scenario driven, and deliver all of the loan level and portfolio outputs given extreme economic scenarios.
Deep Future's first loan modeling software tool was built well before CECL was first mentioned. The purpose for the models then, and all through to today is to improve earnings while reducing risk.
Collections Watchlist – Ranks your loans from most likely to default to least, better informing your collections staff on which accounts require the most immediate attention.
LOC Opportunities! – Ranks credit card accounts from least likely to default to most, helping your marketing department or call center to determine which members are the best candidates for an offer of a line of credit increase.
Payoff Predictor – Knowing the probability of attrition for the months ahead allows your marketing department to focus their attention on those auto loans most likely to pay off early.
Pricing and Risk Matrix Heat Maps – allow you to price for profitability, with a quantified, granular view of the risk for new originations.
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